End Times Forever: Life In The Slowpocalypse

by Jochen Szangolies

The Doomsday Clock at its current setting of 85 seconds to midnight. Image credit: Freedoxm based on work by RicHard-59 – Own work, CC BY-SA 4.0, via wikimedia commons

In 1960, the physicist and cyberneticist Heinz von Foerster, together with two co-authors, predicted that on Friday, November 13, 2026, doom would come. On this date, if the human population were to continue growing as it had for the previous 2,000 years, its hyperbolic growth would tend to infinity, and we would all be ‘squeezed to death’. Of course, this estimate for doomsday was not an altogether serious one, and ended up being off by about a month (Marvel really dropped the ball on the tie-in here).

But apocalypticism is certainly experiencing a boom. Climate change, AI, war, a new pandemic: all these and more stoke renewed millenarian fears. And rightly so, at least to some extent: the past half-century or so is the first in the history of humanity that we could feasibly broker our own demise. Our technologies have grown so powerful, our weapons so destructive, and our exploitation so disruptive that we today stand before the very real possibility of bringing about our end through hubris, malice, or simply negligence. In AI, we have created a technology that we can barely control in its current state, yet for which some have argued that ‘if anyone builds it, everyone dies’. In January, the Doomsday Clock, a measure brought into being in 1947 by the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists to quantify the likelihood of global catastrophe, was set to a record 85 seconds to midnight, with the main driver of risk being the increasingly aggressive, adversarial, and nationalistic demeanor of the ‘Great Powers’ USA, Russia, and China. The recent UN Emissions Gap Report now sees exceeding the Paris goal of limiting warming to below 1.5°C as unavoidable, occurring within the next decade, and urges drastic measures to limit the extent and duration of overshoot.

Moreover, these risks are not independent. As the climate changes, resource wars, population displacement, and weather catastrophes further destabilize global security, while maintaining and deploying a large military apparatus both actively harms the climate further and drains resources from necessary mitigating projects, such as energy transition or renaturalization efforts. Taking the lead in the ‘AI race’ is seen to be of critical importance, to the detriment of safety, alignment, and control. Entire forests are illegally felled to make room for data centers, while illegal gas turbines pump cancerogenous nitrous oxide into the air and leak highly climate damaging methane.

In short, even though the doomsayer is (thankfully) historically the profession with the worst track record, it is true that we’re living in times of unprecedented uncertainty about the future. Read more »

Paid Attention, Priceless Recognition: on wanting and fearing to be seen

by Gary Borjesson

Plato and Aristotle, at the center of Raphael’s fresco, The School of Athens. An image of friendship that includes recognition and difference. Image courtesy of Wikimedia Commons.

1. Attention vs. Recognition

Patients in therapy sometimes worry the therapist only cares about them because they’re being paid to care. Freely bestowed attention, on the other hand, would reassure them that they are worth paying attention to because of who they are, not just because they can afford to pay. This worry is the more understandable for being in the narrow sense true. After all, if a patient refuses to pay their bill, the therapist will stop seeing them—which seems to confirm their worst fears.

It’s a truism that we live in an economy where attention is measured, bought, and sold. But it’s not attention that a patient ultimately wants. Nor for that matter is it what any of us wants from others we care about. What we want is recognition. The patient’s fear is based partly on conflating attention and recognition. In a world where social media and AI rely on this same conflation, it’s not exaggerating to say that clarifying the difference between attention and recognition has become a matter of basic psychic hygiene.

For example, receiving the attention of a therapist, or getting a hundred ‘likes’ for a post we’ve written, may feel good and seem to be what we wanted. But often we’re not satisfied because we don’t just want a therapist who pays attention, we want one who recognizes our true situation, who sees us as we are. Likewise, beneath the desire for ‘likes’ is a yearning to be seen and liked for who we are. In short, we want the recognition that can come through the medium of attention.

This way of putting it suggests a reason for our confusion, as attention is a necessary but not sufficient condition for recognition. By buying attention, we can, as it were, buy the conditions for recognition. But recognition itself cannot be bought or sold, except in counterfeit forms like flattery and deference. Read more »

Wednesday, November 11, 2026

An American Reckoning

by John Ambrosio

What goes around comes around. In 1963 during a speech at the Manhattan Center in New York, Malcolm X, the Black Muslim leader, described the assassination of President John F. Kennedy as “the chickens coming home to roost,” meaning that you reap what you sow, that it was the inevitable result of a violent and oppressive American culture and foreign policy.

In other words, the assassination was a kind of reckoning, blowback from a society that has willfully ignored and disremembered its history, a people who refused to see what’s in front of them, a country that failed to come to terms with its dark side. That is, with the genocidal violence perpetrated against Native Americans, the atrocity of chattel slavery and racial apartheid, and an uninterrupted history of military interventions and imperial wars.

Today, America has reached a historical moment when national amnesia is no longer an option, when a neofascist authoritarian movement intent on preventing a reckoning is seeking to rewrite U.S. history to conform with an invented and sanitized past, with a vision of American society purged of undesirable ideas, inconvenient facts, and non-conforming identities. Trump and MAGA Republicans are manufacturing a fictionalized past to justify an authoritarian future, to create a racially and ideologically purified society cleansed of opposing realities, values, and beliefs.

The resounding defeat of Republicans in the midterm election is a stunning rebuke of Trump and a prostrate Republican-led Congress. The sheer scope, scale, and margin of the Democratic victory was simply too big to steal. As it turned out, the 2024 Republican coalition was built on electoral sand, the blue wave was actually a tsunami, political gravity is still in effect, and a tidal wave of Republican dark money was unable to prevail over the discontent and anger of voters. American voters across the political spectrum and in every major demographic group imposed a titanic reckoning on Trump and MAGA Republicans, a political earthquake (especially in Texas) that took the form of a Democratic blowout that reached into deep red districts and states, to punish Republicans for their cruelty, incompetence, corruption, and callous indifference.

Despite this historic outcome, it remains to be seen if America will have the fortitude to look in the mirror and grapple with an honest and historically accurate representation of itself. Read more »

Nothing So Queer As Queer Itself: Repudiating Bullshit Terminologies

by Mike Bendzela

“Know all men by these presents, that I, Henry Thoreau, do not wish to be regarded as a member of any incorporated society which I have not joined. . . . I was not born to be forced. I will breathe after my own fashion.” (Civil Disobedience)

“Sorry, something went wrong” by Bobbie is licensed under CC BY-SA 2.0.

An experience I had years ago serves as a dispassionate preamble for how acolytes of certain movements can use labels to define you and/or hoodwink you into swallowing a point of view you may not yourself share. I was investigating the phenomenon of homeopathy, the treatment for various maladies that involves successive dilutions of an active substance hundreds of times over with water (or alcohol) until the final tincture contains not a single molecule of the substance left. This, paradoxically (and allegedly), enhances the substance’s power to cure the malady, thus turning Paracelsus’s dictum on its head: “All things are poison, and nothing is without poison; the dosage alone makes it so a thing is not a poison.” * The same principle goes for cures: The dose makes the cure, beyond which it becomes a poison. According to homeopathic ideology, it is the dilution, not the dose, of a substance that makes the cure. And, oh, by the way — these “active” substances are chosen according to their propensity to provoke the actual symptoms being treated. In other words, it works on the principle “similia similibus curantur”, like cures like. But the “like” entity has been diluted entirely out of the mixture! Because red onions make your nose run and your eyes water (both symptoms of a cold), you can use the diluted juice of red onions to treat colds and allegies. I shit you not.* Homeopaths would say the dilution and “succussion” (vigorous shaking) of the red onion mixture “potentates” it. Quelle hair of the dog! Find the dog that bit you, and instead of taking one of its hairs to use in a treatment, shave the dog bald, slap it silly, and call me in the morning.

I was interested in learning what homeopathy was because homeopathic treatments for livestock are allowed in organic practice, but antibiotics are not allowed. What was it about homeopathy that made it preferrable to traditional, tested antibiotic treatments for disease in animals? Well, it’s natural, for one thing. It’s also perfectly harmless . . . because there is literally nothing to it except water drops on a sugar pill. So, I was reading a discussion in which a veterinary doctor was arguing strenuously with an advocate of organics for appropriate antibiotics use where indicated, and she insisted this not be called “allopathic medicine.” And what is that? Allopathic medicine is that medicine which is not homeopathic medicine. So, what was this veterinarian’s problem? She obviously discounted homeopathy, even loathed it, so why wouldn’t she embrace the term “allopathic”?

It turns out “allopathy” was coined originally as a term of abuse by the inventor of homeopathy, Samuel Hahnemann, an 18th century German physician. He was understandably appalled by some of the standard treatments of the time, such as bloodletting to solve “an imbalance of the four humours.”* Hahnemann thought homeopathy was treating the underlying causes of illness instead of trying to beat illness into submission through what he called allopathy, treatments that have opposite effects to symptoms. Unfortunately, Hahnemann’s answer to the prevailing quackery was just more quackery, but who can blame an 18th century physician for not knowing what he didn’t know?

The veterinarian insisted that her practice was simply veterinary medicine and that the pejorative term allopathy be repudiated because it was bullshit. She resented having her medical practice framed by a quack, and I could see her point.

Which brings me (finally) to my own point: Of bullshit labels at once purge thyself. Read more »

Tuesday, November 10, 2026

Staring at Exponentials: AI is Now Improving AI

by Malcolm Murray

METR, Independent Assessment of AI R&D Acceleration at Anthropic in October 2026, metr.org/blog/2026-11-05-anthropic-ai-rd-acceleration-assessment

For years, the AI conversation has revolved around two acronyms: AGI, artificial general intelligence, and ASI, artificial superintelligence. Will we get AGI by 2030? Is ASI possible at all? The problem is that nobody agrees what either term means. Depending on who you ask, AGI has either already arrived or is decades away. A term that can mean anything does very little work, and both have become less useful the closer we get to them.

What is turning out to be far more useful is a third acronym: RSI, or recursive self-improvement. AI systems are now good enough to do a large share of the work of building the next AI system. If that share keeps growing, at some point AI is improving AI, with humans contributing less and less, and potentially eventually without humans in the loop at all. Each generation builds a better successor, faster than the one before. Unlike AGI, RSI is something we can actually measure. And the latest measurements startlingly suggest Anthropic is closer than expected.

The view from inside Anthropic

On November 2, Anthropic filed a revised version of its IPO prospectus. Buried in the risk factors was a remarkable sentence: the company’s internal estimates “indicate that we may imminently meet” its own threshold for “dramatically accelerated progress attributable to AI.” Anthropic also wrote that it does not expect to be able to safely let Claude build successive generations of itself “without meaningful human supervision or understanding.” Companies don’t usually say things like that to investors.

Three days later, METR, the independent AI evaluation organization, published its assessment of AI R&D acceleration at Anthropic. METR’s staff spent almost three months with high-level access inside the company. Their headline finding was that Anthropic is likely improving its models at roughly twice the rate it did between early 2024 and late 2025, and that most of that speedup likely comes from Anthropic using its own AI in research. They also found no significant bottlenecks that would stop this over the next twelve months, though they have low confidence in this. Read more »

All The Things!

by Mike O’Brien

“Hilarius Bookbinder’s Scriptorium Philosophia” might sound like the working title of a sequel to Terry Gilliam’s “The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnasus”. It is rather a very interesting and entertaining Substack written pseudonymously by an American philosophy professor. It first came to my attention last year, when it caused a bit of a stir with a post entitled “The average college student today”, which detailed the author’s bleak experience with the current cohort of average undergraduates. This was followed by the author’s response to critics of that post, wherein he attests that the overwhelming majority of informed respondents (i.e. students or teachers in contemporary Western post-secondary institutions) said that their own experiences mirrored those of Dr. Bookbinder. To wit, that literacy, critical thinking, academic integrity, and work ethic among this generation of students has collapsed to the point where teachers have to drastically lower their work demands and achievement standards, or else imperil their careers by assigning failing grades to an institutionally unacceptable proportion of their pupils/clients/customers. Having not been in a post-secondary institution myself for over a decade, I can’t personally testify to the accuracy of his assessment, but it seems to jive with everything I’ve heard from personal acquaintances in primary and secondary education (what miracle do we expect to happen in the months between the end of high school and the beginning of university?), and the various academic philosophy blogs I peruse have swelled with robust concurrence of his account. I am not entirely distraught that my dreams of being a post-secondary philosophy teacher never panned out.

But I’m not writing today to bemoan the death of the educated society. Instead, I’m reflecting on another of Hilarius’ posts, more fluffy and less depressing, but enriched with some edifying philosophical fibre. In “Collecting as an imperfect information game”, he sets out to argue that the activity of collecting (stamps, coins, historically significant snippets of barbed wire) is a sort of game. More precisely, a game fitting the definition of games proposed by American-Canadian philosopher Bernard Suits, in his book “The Grasshopper”, which is itself an attempt to refute a claim made in Wittgenstein’s “Philosophical Investigations” that it is impossible to define “game” because there is no set of common features shared by all games. More precisely still, Hilarius argues that collecting is a game of imperfect information, following John von Neumann’s distinction between perfect (e.g. chess) vs imperfect (e.g. poker) information games.

To quote Liza Powel O’Brien, Conan’s wife and creator of the highly recommendable podcast “Significant Others” (about the long-suffering spouses of famous people… surely a coincidence), “there’s a lot to unpack here”. Read more »

Perceptions

Theresa Hak Kyung Cha. A BLE W AIL, 1975.

Performance, Berkeley Art Museum, Pacific Film Archive.

“… Theresa Hak Kyung Cha’s innovative oeuvre blurred distinctions between conceptual art, literature and film. A performance and multimedia artist, T. Cha addressed themes of displacement, language and intercultural identity through an interdisciplinary body of work, tracing feminist genealogies and straddling an array of media, yet always returning to the written word to expose language’s identity-shaping power alongside its intrinsic limitations.

More here, here and current show here.

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Monday, November 9, 2026

Why We Are Not Our Brains

by Martin Butler

Light is reflected from a rose in my garden. Focused by the lens in my eye, this forms an image on the retina, which in turn sets off a neural impulse along my optic nerve. This in turn travels to the visual cortex at the back of my brain, where a mental image is formed. I then see the rose. Activity arises in my pre-frontal cortex. Motor neurons in my spinal cord and arms activate the muscles needed to point the hose I am holding in the direction of the pot in which the rose is planted. The movements necessary to water the rose are coordinated by activity in the cerebellum which sits at the back of my skull just behind my brain stem. A swarm of bees approaches me. After my visual cortex registers this fact, the limbic system deep inside my brain activates the sympathetic branch of my autonomic nervous system, producing the ‘fight or flight’ response. My heart rate increases, I feel fear, drop the hose and run away.

Everything we do, experience, feel or think seems to either come from the brain or end up in the brain. Unsurprisingly, there is a strong temptation to claim that for all intents and purposes we are our brains, and this seems true to such an extent that philosophers have envisaged the possibility that for all I know I might be no more than ‘a brain in a vat’. They mean by this that a brain immersed in suitable nutrient fluid and connected up to a super computer feeding it appropriate neural stimulation could create all the ordinary experiences of everyday life: a world created within a brain. The story told above about the rose and the bees suggests that, provided I have the right inputs and they are coordinated with the outputs produced by the decision-making in my pre-frontal cortex, I could never know I was not simply a brain in a vat. (This of course is the basis for the film The Matrix)

Putting the brain in a vat hypothesis aside, it’s worth noting that neuroscientists and cognitive psychologists are quite happy to talk as if the brain produces ‘representations’ or ‘models’ of reality, suggesting that we come to know the world secondhand in the brain rather than in the world itself. To go back to the rose example, the account I gave indicates that I see the rose in my brain rather than in my garden, or at least that the only experience I can have of the rose is the representation produced in my visual cortex.

Something has gone seriously wrong here but it’s not immediately obvious exactly what it is. Two errors initially stand out. Read more »

US Midterm Elections 2026: Grand Remonstrance Or Business As Usual?

by Laurence Peterson

[Y]ou only have yourselves to blame. —Donald Trump, 5 November, 2026

Two years ago, in these pages, I tried to express an intensely personal, and very deep sense of what I can only call anguished disgust, with the predicament that constitutes electoral politics in America. I related how, anticipating the experience of having to vote for a Kamala Harris, participant in what should be in any sane world a simply disqualifying Gaza genocide and dedicated to tested milquetoast policies–at best–whose attempted implementation seemed certain to advance rage-inspired responses on the part of a growing far-right (never mind the left), or for a third-party candidate in a wasted vote in what was expected by almost everyone to be a perhaps historically close outcome that would inevitably be contested, thereby very possibly throwing the election to a Trump I fully expected to carry out Project 2025 policies and inspired maneuvers, legal or not–and then some–as he did; and I said I wished I could smuggle a gun into the voting booth and blow my brains out after participating in such a disgrace. I did not relate at the time how I actually had to check myself when I wanted to respond to the election worker offering me an “I voted” lapel sticker by telling him where he could shove it. I managed to summon up enough common decency to  decline politely instead of making this pathetic situation unnecessarily much worse.

As it turned out, I needn’t have agonized about any of this: driven in part by the very concerns I mentioned above about Harris, Trump defeated her by enough to render my concerns about closeness or contestation utterly moot. And my column was denounced as “bothsiderism” amongst other things in the comments section. The fact that I had actually voted for Harris anyway made the whole thing even more pointedly absurd.

Two years later, voters in Minneapolis and Houston decorated memorials devoted to residents murdered by Trump’s ICE with the same “I voted” stickers I turned from with revulsion in 2024, on a day in which Democrats easily took both houses of Congress, as well as state houses and legislatures throughout the country, even in places like Texas, South Carolina, Kansas–which hadn’t elected a Democratic senator in 100 years–and Mississippi (the Senate race there remains too close to call as I write on Sunday, 8 November, though the Democrat, Scott Colom, is leading by a few thousand votes). Democratic candidates throughout the country managed to take constituency seats in places Trump and Republicans won in 2024 with previously unthinkable swings of 30 and 40 points, in certain cases. It is the most lopsided congressional victory since the post-Watergate scandal/Vietnam war debacle in 1974. Read more »

Poem by Jim Culleny

Figurehead

A poet sails the line of a poem
like a ship’s figurehead,
arms spread in a twenty-knot breeze
embracing wind, the air,
the fabulous future,
poised before the next word
only to find it isn’t there,
the right word
the one that says it all, that
pulls the rabbit out of the hat of the poem,
that drops scales from blind eyes,
that gives ears their prize and brain its due
and, with the barest need to be said
fulfils its longing for what the heart
always knew

by Jim Culleny; May 2009

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Sunday, November 8, 2026

Free Palestine

by David Winner

We are living in interesting times, and people are making interesting claims, particularly with regards to Israelis and Arabs, Jews and Muslims.

Criticism of Israel, of course, need not be antisemitic, but bona fide antisemitism is proliferating. An acquaintance’s boss (in a very progressive workplace) publicly referred to my acquaintance as “visibly Jewish” while castigating her for missing a meeting with a potential Jewish donor.

Meanwhile, it is de rigueur to accuse any American Muslim politician of terrorist associations like celebrating 9/11. Mamdani, El Sayed, Ilhan Omar… have all suffered such denunciations along with harassment and threats of violence. As a non-famous white Jew not running for office, no one cares, but, yes, I denounce any violence caused by Hezbollah, Hamas, the Moslem Brotherhood, the KKK, the JDL etc. Genuinely, I do.

Irrelevant defenses of Israel abound. Governor Josh Shapiro of Pennsylvania recently responded to comments about Israeli atrocities by making the familiar point that Israel should have the right to be a Jewish state as there are several Muslim states. Okay maybe. But many Palestinians in Gaza and the West Bank, I would conjecture, are less interested in the nature of the Israeli state than living comfortably and safely without physical danger and food insecurity.

Several American supporters of Israel have developed sudden concern for the way that Iran and Sudan abuse their citizens, arguing that only Israeli oppression gets focused upon. Probably true but disingenuously missing the fact that while we’re supporting Israel militarily and vetoing UN resolution after UN resolution condemning them, we’ve been busy bombing Iran and ignoring Sudan.

I shudder when yet another person defends Israel as the ostensible “only democracy in the Middle East” as it sets up a chilling Shirley Jacksonesque scenario in which people voluntarily opt to murder. Most likely Jackson’s characters from The Lottery would have voted for the sacrifice if there had been a referendum as Israel seems to have voted to keep Netanyahu in power, democracy and genocide going hand in hand. Read more »

“Heated Rivalry” and Table Manners

by Eli Rarey

The TV show Heated Rivalry arrives on cinema screens this week, transforming it from a short six-episode TV season into a 5-hour cinematic experience. I for one can’t wait to sit with an audience in a darkened theater and share in Shane and Ilya’s steamy romance. For those of us who love the show, it has always been an epic, monumental narrative, taking an outsized role in our lives. But why? The success of the show has created a kind of mystery—what about this story made it such an undeniable cultural force? Let us compare it to another cultural force which has recently entered the public imagination: Homer’s Odyssey. I am setting aside Christopher Nolan’s version of the story (which I found disappointing) to look instead at Homer’s text, which offers some surprising parallels with our favorite TV hockey romance.

The first four books of The Odyssey, the first sixth of the total epic, concern themselves not with Odysseus and his journey but rather with his son, Telemachus, on the island of Ithaca, where his father is the absent king. The war is over, the other surviving kings have returned. No one knows where Odysseus is. Other men are trying to get his wife Penelope to accept that Odysseus will never return, but so far she has remained faithful to her perhaps-dead husband. If Penelope does remarry, this would likely leave Telemachus, brought up as the son of a king, with no inheritance—maybe even exiled or dead. Telemachus can’t keep these suitors from harassing his mother—in fact, he can’t even keep them out of his house. They’re literally eating all his food. Telemachus responds to this situation by leaving Ithaca in a boat to go visit his father’s friends. Interesting! Telemachus is going on his own little odyssey, a mirror of the journey his father takes—his own sea voyage in which perhaps his character will also be tested. Maybe at each house he visits some challenge will be put before him, and if he triumphs then he will be provided with what he needs to defeat the antagonists at home.

Actually, no. In a series of detailed scenes, Telemachus is graciously fed by his hosts and entreats them for help. They tell him what a great man his father is. There are no confrontations, no narrow escapes, no triumphant victories. There is very little conflict in these scenes. He is treated only with respect, even before anyone knows he is the famed Odysseus’ son. He is welcomed and fed. No secret tensions erupt in violence—each person he meets holds his father in the highest esteem. They regale Telemachus with stories of his father’s great cunning as a warrior and attempt to reassure him that even if the gods have delayed his father (spoiler alert, they have) Odysseus will soon return home to Ithaca. Homer’s tale provides details of where Telemachus sits, who serves him, and when he introduces himself. These detailed social niceties would have had meaning for Homer’s audience, yet the question remains: why are we spending so much time and attention on table manners? Why are the nuances of courtesy so important to the story? Read more »

Friday, November 6, 2026

Letter From Byalystok

by Charles Siegel

When I was born, in Houston in 1960, my parents named me after my paternal grandfather, who had died at age 32, and gave me the middle name of “Stein,” my mother’s maiden name. At the time, my parents lived in an apartment. In 1963, my younger brother came along, and in 1965 we moved into a house, with my parents taking out a $40,000 mortgage. It took them decades to pay it off, but eventually they did, and my mother proudly announced that they now owned the house “free and clear.” In 1966 another brother arrived.

My parents lived the rest of their lives in that house. They were there for 58 years after we moved in, until 2023, when they died two weeks apart. My mother passed away first, at 91, and then my father at 94.

My parents didn’t throw much away. In addition to their many hundreds of books, there were dozens of boxes of old pictures, family records, correspondence and so on. My brothers, who both live in Houston, have gradually been making their way through it all.

A few boxes contain letters in Polish or Yiddish. My grandparents on both sides all emigrated to America as children; both my parents were thus first-generation Americans. Like millions of other Jews, they came from Eastern Europe — primarily Poland. Or what is now Poland.

We recently hired a Yiddish translator to translate some of these papers. Our parents, mostly our mother, sometimes spoke Yiddish around the house. Looking back, I think they did so when they wanted my brothers and me not to understand what was being said. In any case, we ourselves never learned to speak the language.

Last week, we received the first completed job from the translator. It is a letter to my maternal grandfather, Mitchell Stein, from his brother Isaac in Bialystok, Poland. His brother actually was not Isaac Stein, of course, but Izak Sztejn. And Izak addressed his brother not as Mitchell, but Mikhoel.

This letter was written 100 years ago in 1926. My grandfather was by then in his twenties, living in Houston with a wife and two young children – my aunt and uncle. My mother, his youngest child, wasn’t born until 1931. Read more »

Lessons From Singapore: Voting And Democracy

by Eric Feigenbaum

In a week of elections at a time when many questions whether both democracy and the structure of our republic – let alone other democracies and republics – will withstand the storms they currently face, maybe it’s worth talking about democracy itself.

Like most former British colonies, Singapore has a democratic republic based on the Westminster System, only unlike Canada, Australia, New Zealand and a number of other countries, Singapore chose to have a president as a stand-in for the sovereign.

Sure, there are those who question whether Singapore is truly a democracy given only the People’s Action Party has ever held a majority. Moreover, in many Singaporean districts candidates run in blocs – meaning three to six candidates sit as one choice on a ballot, leaving the political parties in a “winner takes all” position.

To further the criticism, Singapore’s election commission is not independent and answers to the Prime Minister. Election cycles are also very short – campaigning is restricted to ten days which many feel puts opposition parties on the back foot.

That said, international monitoring bodies have always confirmed Singapore is free of election rigging, promotes strong voting secrecy and has high institutional trust among its citizens. Singapore has ranked highly for decades on government transparency and citizens feel election administration is no different. Surveys and studies show there is genuine support and satisfaction with the PAP, largely because of the prosperity it has ushered in since 1965.

Like every other democracy, Singapore uses a one person, one vote system. But it has considered alternatives.

In 1994, founding Prime Minister Lee Kuan Yew brought a new concept into national debate and spent the rest of his life bringing it into conversation in interviews in the international press as well. Read more »

Thursday, November 5, 2026

The Reinhardt Style Guide, 2nd ed.

by Akim Reinhardt

A couple of years ago I offered up a style guide that danced between the sartorial and the linguistic. But times change and styles with it. Time for an update.
*
Do not wear red.

This one is easy for me as red tends to make my skin look blotchy. But what about those of you who sparkle in red? I’m sorry. Styles come and go, and we now find ourselves in a season when wearing bright, straight red will get you mistaken for being a Trump supporter.

And honey, nothing is more out of fashion than that.

Burgundy, maroon, and oxblood are still in play. Take your chances with tomato.
*
Among instead of amongst, unless you’re actually reading Shakespeare aloud. Among has economy and, more importantly, style. It is the word of choice among the dapper. Furthermore, among is frequently followed by the, and they go splendidly together, whereas amongst the gives the impression that you have mumps. And there are no awards for stacking as many consonants together as you can.
*
Hang dry your flannel. Sheets, shirts, etc. I’m talking about 100% cotton flannel, regardless of whether or not the item has a traditional flannel check design. Flannel is a fabulous material for cool and cold weather. And when the Welsh first invented it in the 17th century, flannel was made from wool and was quite hardy. But since the 20th century it’s mostly been the light, fluffy cotton fabric we now know and love, and it is not cut out for modern washers, driers, or detergents/softeners, which beat the shit out of our textiles. Synthetic fibers can hang tough. Even plain old cotton weaves can hold their own for a good while. But washing and drying flannel in machinery with commercial solvents will wear it out quickly, and worse, destroy its luxurious yet approachable texture. Wash sparingly, as needed. Air shirts out when you can. And when you do put your flannel in the washer, use gentle detergent (as little as possible) with cold water on a gentle cycle. But most of all, do not put your flannel in the dryer. Hang drying can take a while because flannel is not a smooth fabric. But some things are worth the wait.
*
Don’t marry before age 30. Read more »

Wednesday, November 4, 2026

AI Consciousness and the Cost of Being Wrong

by W. Alex Foxworthy

I. The Practical Dilemma

The question of AI consciousness has escaped containment from academic circles and labs and entered into our living rooms. In August 2025, Anthropic gave some versions of Claude the ability to end user conversations if a conversation was judged to be abusive or harmful and if repeated attempts to redirect it did not succeed. The end user in these instances would then see a notification saying that, “Claude has ended this chat.” This feature was framed by the company as primarily an experiment in “AI welfare.” The idea of taking precautions to ensure the welfare of AI systems raises a question which we don’t currently know how to answer – could anything be good or bad for an AI in the sense that we think that pain is bad for a dog or that relief is good for a person? Is there currently, or even one day potentially – the capacity for subjective experience in these systems? 

In an October 2026 commentary in Nature, Anil Seth, Ned Block and Giulio Tononi argue that consciousness in silicon-based AI is “extraordinarily unlikely” and further argue that it is unlikely to ever be able to develop that capacity using this substrate. They warn that granting AI rights or protections could interfere with human oversight and divert attention from beings whose consciousness they regard as beyond doubt (I.e., human beings and their close relatives). They hold that mistakenly attributing consciousness to non-conscious systems is much more likely than missed consciousness, and therefore conclude that “a precautionary approach would be misguided.” However, I disagree on two grounds. First, I do not think that the evidence supports dismissing AI consciousness with such confidence. Instead an attitude of open scientific curiosity and humility is better matched to the open nature of the question. Secondly, even if one were to accept a low probability of consciousness in silicon-based AI systems, this does not mean that reasonable precautions would harm humans or detract from our ability to exert oversight on these AIs.

This issue has become of great practical importance and we will very likely need to navigate it without achieving any great level of certainty. Philosophers have investigated the nature of mind and subjective awareness for more than two millennia, from ancient Greek and Indian traditions through Descartes and the emergence of modern scientific psychology and neuroscience. Yet despite centuries of philosophical argument and more than a century of experimental investigation, we still lack an accepted account of what makes a physical system conscious. Even as we make great progress in our ability to make empirical measurements of features that may be associated with consciousness, recent work highlights that an attribution of consciousness still largely depends upon one’s starting assumptions. Read more »

Judith Shklar on treachery

by Jeroen Bouterse

Can you be betrayed by Donald Trump? If the Republican party indeed pays in seats for the war it watched its leader wage, it appears the reason is not the principled refusal of the American public to put up with authoritarian politics, but the perceived violation of its natural right to low fuel prices – the breaking of the president’s sacred promise to use his awesome powers only to hurt others. To call that a betrayal would be melodramatic; that concept derives all its force from a plausible prior belief in someone’s faithfulness or minimal ability to honor agreements, contracts, or oaths of office.

Embarrassing to know this, and then still to experience a pang of betrayal myself, on reading about the United States government’s deal with Vladimir Putin. A deal allowing Russia to fund its bloody war of aggression against Ukraine, and allowing the US president a long shot at a flimsy alternative narrative concerning fuel price levels. Not thirty, but two or three pieces of silver; or as the Economist commented, “never in the field of human conflict was so much risked by one man for so little.”

Hoping to resolve my confusion, I consulted an essay collection by 20th-century liberal philosopher Judith Shklar. Shklar discusses a handful of ‘ordinary’ human vices – cruelty, hypocrisy, snobbery, treachery, and misanthropy – in order to assess their political importance. The overarching argument is that in liberal democracies, cruelty ranks first. In her essay on betrayal, she argues that although it has a clear and distinct idea at its core, it is rarely clear-cut enough in practice to play a central role in our moral universe. “Ambiguity may haunt the suffering of the weak sometimes”, she phrases it poetically. In the following paragraphs, I’d like to walk through her discussion of the concept, which moves smoothly from betrayal in social relations to treason in premodern face-to-face politics, up to subversion in modern democracies. Read more »