AI Risk in the 2nd Trump Era
by Malcolm Murray What does the election of Trump mean for risks to society from advanced AI? Given the wide spectrum of risks from advanced AI, the answer will depend very much on which AI risks one is most concerned about. The AI risk spectrum can be drawn from the near-term, high-certainty risks such as…
The Strawman Factory in the AI Risk Debate
Why Climate Change and Advanced AI are the Only Risks That Matter in the 21st Century
by Malcolm Murray In the 21st century, only two risks matter – climate change and advanced AI. It is easy to lose sight of the bigger picture and get lost in the maelstrom of “news” hitting our screens. There is a plethora of low-level events constantly vying for our attention. As a risk consultant and…
The Three Battlelines for AI Safety
by Malcolm Murray The battle lines are drawn. AI safety is fighting a battle on three fronts. The figure shows how the AI safety viewpoint is opposed to three others, on two dimensions. First, let’s define the axes. The debate over advanced AI and its risks and benefits has many dimensions, but here we focus…
The Shifting Nature of AI Risk
by Malcolm Murray As AI evolves, so do the risks it poses on society. The risks of AI today are already unrecognizable from those of a few years ago. As a dual-use technology, similar to nuclear power, the capabilities of AI bring great benefits as well as great risks. As opposed to nuclear power, however,…