This Lizard Plays Rock-Paper-Scissors

Carl Zimmer in the New York Times:

If you live in the United States, chances are you’re familiar with the game rock-paper-scissors. You put out your hand in one of three gestures: clenching it in a fist (rock), holding it out flat (paper) or holding up two fingers in a “V” (scissors). Rock beats scissors, scissors beat paper and paper beats rock.

Americans by no means have a monopoly on the game. People play it around the world in many variations, and under many names. In Japan, where the game has existed for thousands of years, it’s known as janken. In Indonesia, it’s known as earwig-man-elephant: The elephant kills the man, the man kills the earwig and the earwig crawls up through the elephant’s trunk and eats its brain.

The game is so common that it exists beyond our own species. Over millions of years, animals have evolved their own version of rock-paper-scissors. For them, winning the game means passing down their genes to future generations. A study published on Thursday in the journal Science reveals the hidden biology that makes the game possible — and shows how it may be an important source of nature’s diversity.

More here.

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Giving some context to Venezuelan oil

Hannah Ritchie at By the Numbers:

Over the weekend, the United States bombed Venezuela, and captured its president Nicolás Maduro. There has been a lot of speculation about the legality, true motive and implications going forward.

Oil has been a central part of the discussion. I wanted to get a quick overview of what the global picture looks like. So here are five(ish) simple charts that give some context on the history of oil in Venezuela, and why the United States — which is, by far, the world’s largest producer itself — would care so much.

While we often think about the Middle East when it comes to large oil stocks, it’s Venezuela that has the largest proved reserves in the world.

The chart below shows the ten countries with the largest proved oil reserves. These are deposits that are deemed economically feasible to extract under current market conditions. This number can change as new reserves are found, or become economic.

More here.

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A Case for Beauty in a Fleeting World

Margaret Renkl in The New York Times:

“I can’t believe you haven’t read this,” my husband said one day right before Thanksgiving. He was holding Maggie O’Farrell’s 2020 novel, “Hamnet.” “This book has your name all over it.”

Haywood wasn’t the first person to tell me I’d love “Hamnet.” But I found myself avoiding it when it first came out — a book subtitled “A Novel of the Plague” was not what I wanted to read in the early days of the Covid-19 pandemic — and never got back to it later on.

That was most likely a matter of unconscious design. This beautiful, haunting novel is an imagined account of the death of William Shakespeare’s 11-year-old son, and even Ms. O’Farrell found its subject a challenge. “One of the reasons I kept putting off writing the book was because I had a weird superstition about not writing it before my son was past the age of 11,” she told People magazine. My own sons are long since grown, but it takes only the smallest imaginative leap for me to fall into similar atavistic thoughts.

But the possibility of encountering a devastating plot point is not a reasonable measure by which to judge a work of art. Art is supposed to break our hearts. It’s supposed to crack us open to every raw, elemental feeling a human heart can bear. That’s how it makes us more human.

More here.

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The Fragile Foundations of the Intelligent Age

Klaus Schwab in Time Magazine:

Our society faces a dramatic, but elusive, crisis.

Beneath a surface of political volatility and technological acceleration lie two quietly deteriorating foundations: truth and trust. Their erosion is reshaping the global landscape more profoundly than the events that dominate headlines.

Truth and trust are often treated as virtues, but they function as conditions: the prerequisites for coherent societies, functional institutions, and stable international systems. Without them, even the most advanced technologies fail to deliver progress; without them, democratic debate becomes impossible; without them, economic and social life slowly lose their connective tissue.

More here.

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The Oliver Sacks Problem

Lawrence Weschler at Wondercabinet:

And here we arrive at a whole knot of issues at the heart of both Aviv’s and my own earlier characterizations of Oliver’s story. Because Oliver could relate to the situation of those wretched patients both out of the residue of his mother’s malediction itself and the sheer extent of the drug induced extravagances and catatonias he’d thenceforth experienced as its direct result during his ensuing wild California days (when his slogan had been “Every dose an overdose”), and beyond that, the wider identification he’d come to feel more generally with what his California-era friend, the psychoanalyst Bob Rodman, termed “communities of the refused” (an identification which would subsequently extend to Parkinsonians, Touretters, amnesiacs, the Deaf, the catatonic, the colorblind, the faceblind, and other such marginalized communities, and for that matter ferns and cuttlefish and even certain inert chemical elements as well). That sense of identification came to ground a profound empathy which, on the one hand helped him to give voice to the otherwise voiceless by helping them to reclaim their own stories, their own narratives, in so doing allowing them to reemerge as the active agents of their own lives—a practice which, granted, occasionally overstepped its bounds into outright projection and, in the subsequent recounting, downright confabulation.

more here.

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Sunday, January 4, 2026

A Global Euro

Shahin Vallée in Phenomenal World:

A profound sense of uncertainty dominates the question of the international monetary order today. Trump’s presidency in the US, the growing Sino-American rivalry, and widespread sanctions against Russia’s Central Bank reserves are all contributing to the general indeterminacy. The rise of crypto assets, digital currencies and the return of precious commodities as a potential store of value have prompted some to predict the demise of a fiat based monetary order powered by fractional reserve banking at home and offshore money creation abroad.

After decades acting as the anchor of the global monetary order, the role of the dollar has now come into question. The promotion of stablecoins and other advanced commercial cryptocurrencies have been designed to expand the dollar’s global role, but the outcome of this cryptomercantilism remains to be seen. China has its own internationalization strategy built on the expansion of its central bank’s bilateral swap network to advance renminbi invoicing and the creation of a fully digital payment system backed by a digital currency.

Europe’s strategy is yet to emerge. There is an opportunity for European leaders—not just central bankers—to seize the moment to expand Europe’s global monetary role. A stronger role for the euro would likely enhance European resilience, be it by expanding protections from US sanctions, by helping to insulate Europe’s economy from swings in foreign exchange rates, or by securing better financing conditions for European governments, businesses, and households. But a stronger role for the euro, which doesn’t preclude some costs, will require a degree of planning and policy coordination across member states, as well as between fiscal and monetary authorities—both of which are so far lacking.

More here.

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Among the Prophets

Nicholas Russell in The Baffler:

In David Fincher’s most mainstream filmThe Social Network, an aggrieved ex of Mark Zuckerberg tells him that “the internet isn’t written in pencil, Mark, it’s written in ink.” Disappearing ink perhaps, given how difficult it has become to search for useful or accurate information, let alone its source, amid the hallucinatory derangements of artificial intelligence. Media literacy has never been more important. Society has never been lazier.

For the past few months, I’ve been researching how science fiction has been used as a guide for predicting the future. This has included reading interviews and speeches, the testimony of would-be prophets. Naturally, certain quotes pop up like weeds—but, in the case of the more platitudinal selections, no one can seem to agree on who actually said them. “Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future” was either coined by Danish physicist Niels Bohr or mythic Yankees catcher Yogi Berra. It’s entirely possible both men did, in fact, say some variation of the quote, though it’s more likely that Bohr, who was forty years older, said it first. But then again, he may not have said it at all.

The origin of the less elegant but more popular “We can predict everything, except the future” is similarly elusive. In 2012, user1202136 on the Stack Exchange forum for English etymology asked about the quote’s source, a question that’s been viewed four thousand times. The highest-rated answer, provided by a user going by Sven Yargs—who, according to his profile, has answered 3,444 other questions—is exhaustive in its detail: “The earliest instance of that approximate wording that I could find in a Google Books search is from David Redburn, ‘The ‘Graying’ of the World’s Population,’ in Social Gerontology (1998): ‘An oft-stated demographer’s joke comments, ‘it is easy to predict everything except the future’ and while this is demographic humor, or lack of it, it does relate the trepidation with which population specialists approach projections.’”

More here.

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Behind the News Podcast with Thea Riofrancos and Alyssa Battistoni

Over at Doug Henwood’s Behind the News,

Thea Riofrancos, author of Extraction: The Frontiers of Green Capitalism, on the complications of using lithium batteries to green our future (think tank here) [and] Alyssa Battistoni, author of Free Giftson the weird relationship between capitalism and Nature.

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Plato and the Poets

Elaine Scarry in The Boston Review:

When Plato was an infant, bees alighted on his lips and, nestling there, set about making honey. His parents had placed him, sleeping, on the summit of a mountain while they paid tribute to the gods, and when they turned their attention back to him, they found the infant’s mouth full of golden sweetness. Cicero provides our first surviving record of the legend, which is repeated with variations over centuries, always as a portent of the sweet style the infant would ultimately possess.

Plato’s honeyed voice was celebrated in classical antiquity by thinkers as different as Aristotle, Cicero, and Diogenes Laertius. Praise for Plato’s literary genius regularly recurs until at least the early nineteenth century. As the Romantic poet Percy Shelley writes, “Plato was essentially a poet—the truth and splendour of his imagery, and the melody of his language, are the most intense that it is possible to conceive.”

More here.

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A Sweet, Sexy, Happy Love Story Between Two Men. Revolutionary

Jim Downs in The New York Times:

“Heated Rivalry” has become a breakout hit. The hockey drama — adapted from an erotic romance novel for the Canadian streaming service Crave — just ended its first season on HBO Max and has left gay men crying at watch parties that feel more like 19th-century religious revivals. If you want to understand why this show has become our community’s equivalent of a cultural earthquake, the answer is that watching a gay couple be mildly boring and in love is still radical.

During the season, two rival Major League Hockey stars — Shane Hollander of the fictional Montreal Metros and Ilya Rozanov of the Boston Raiders — fall for each other, moving from adversaries to soul mates. There are plenty of steamy locker room encounters and charged rendezvous in luxury penthouses. But in the season finale, which landed last week, the two men are secluded in an intimate cottage — grilling burgers, lying by firelight, taking daytime swims, scrolling through their phones on the sofa. Culture has not kept up with queer people, despite major political strides, legal victories (including marriage equality) and growing social acceptance. Stories and art explicitly about queer life are being made, but they rarely find a wide gay audience. They’re not typically embraced the way “Heated Rivalry” has been.

More here.

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Sunday Poem

Some Criticism, Some Theory, Some Questions

He said,
“Too much plot, too little dancing.”

Plot would have us believe the world
is understandable. Not “The King
died then the Queen,” but
“The king died and the Queen
died of grief.”
…………………… We want cause
to break onto the future like
a great wave.
……………………  So, how is it you
woke up where you woke up this morning?
What was the cause and the cause
of that cause? Is your story line believable?
And why isn’t there more dancing?

by Nils Peterson
from My Dinner With Nils
Kinchafoonee Press, Athens Georgia, 

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Friday, January 2, 2026

She’s an A.I. Sex Robot, and She’s Becoming Sentient

Lydia Kiesling in the New York Times:

In an unremarkable New York apartment, sometime in the not-too-distant future, a man tells his robot to come to bed. She is a “Stella,” an intelligent machine who looks and sounds like a woman. We soon learn that she is a “Cuddle Bunny,” a euphemistic term for the sex-robot setting she’s currently running. She is also set to “autodidactic” mode, which gives her a searching intellect and a nascent independence. Her name is Annie, and we will follow her on the journey to elevated consciousness in “Annie Bot,” Sierra Greer’s slyly profound debut novel.

Annie’s human is Doug, and she is programmed to read his moods and cater to his every need. “Annoyance, a 2 out of 10. She must be careful,” the close-third narration tells us. Her actions are calibrated to his pleasure. She knows, for instance, that during sex, “he does not like her too loud.”

More here.  And more about “The challenges of writing from the perspective of a sex robot” by Sierra Greer here.

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Exercise won’t help you lose much fat but changing this will…

Hatty Willmoth at BBC Science Focus:

If you want to lose weight, exercise doesn’t really matter.

That doesn’t sound right, does it? After all, for decades we’ve been told that the way to burn off excess calories is simple: move more. Have a slice of cake? No problem, just make up for it at the gym.

But a major new study challenges that long-standing belief. Collating data on more than 4,200 people across 34 different countries, researchers found that people who exercise more don’t burn more calories than those who sit around all day.

In fact, the research found that, matched pound-for-pound, a hunter-gatherer from Tanzania’s Hadza community burns about the same number of calories each day as a typical US office worker – even though the Hadza are more active in a single day than most Americans are in an entire week.

More here.

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The Moral Imagination of Zohran Mamdani

Corey Robin at his own website:

In a way I’ve never experienced in my life, I feel in synch with a political turn, felt by millions of voters, that’s now being reflected in the voice of one of the most dynamic leaders we’ve seen in a long time.

Which leads me now to a bit of a personal/political memoir, which may resonate with other leftists of my age, with those of us who are part of lost generation of progressives, the Gen X leftists, who’ve mostly felt out of step for virtually every political development of our adult lives.

In the last few years, I’ve noticed a change in my political writing, prompted by the surge of enshittification, the rise of AI, and the concomitant erosion of academic and cultural standards. I found myself increasingly focusing my political writing on the importance of excellence for the left, on pushing for the highest standards of teaching and writing and work, not as a punishment for the poor or as an excuse for excluding subjugated groups, but as an aspiration of a genuinely democratic society, as something everybody wants for themselves and the people around them.

More here.

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Pepys Diary

Deborah Friedell at the LRB:

Pepys was a meticulous – some might say compulsive – record-keeper, and his talent for storing and retrieving vast amounts of information would be useful to him throughout his career. Loveman argues that the diary became his ‘catch-all’ for anything he couldn’t safely or conveniently note in his official or household accounts. Into its pages went social debts (who had given him dinner, who still owed him one), gossip, the music he heard and the plays he saw, and the most intimate aspects of his life, from bodily functions (including what has been called ‘one of the best documented attacks of flatulence in history’) to sex.

He had married Elizabeth de St Michel when he was 22 years old; she was 14, young even by the standard of the time. We don’t know how they met. Her father was French, and she had grown up in Paris and Devon. She was a Protestant, though when she was angry at her husband she would sometimes threaten to convert to Catholicism. He thought that he was in love with her, at least at the beginning of their marriage. When he hears an especially stirring piece of music, he writes that it did ‘wrap up my soul so that it made me really sick, just as I have formerly been when in love with my wife’.

more here.

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