Jennifer Szalai in The New York Times:
Omer Bartov was born in Israel, was raised in a Zionist household and served for four years in the Israel Defense Forces. Now he teaches at Brown, where he is a professor of Holocaust and genocide studies. When he writes about Israel, a state founded in the aftermath of World War II, his understanding of his subject is both historical and intimate.
In November 2023, a month after Hamas’s brutal attacks on Oct. 7, he published an opinion essay in The New York Times about Israel’s military response. “I believe that there is no proof that genocide is currently taking place in Gaza,” he wrote, “although it is very likely that war crimes, and even crimes against humanity, are happening.”
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Even in the best of times, changing society for the better feels like a formidable task. Measures that improve sustainability and public well-being can be good for business and beneficial for humanity, but how do societal transitions occur? The Socioscope tackles the fundamental issue of systemic change and addresses a gap in the social sciences: the absence of strong, empirically based methods for studying complex societal shifts across different levels.
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Every once in a while, a work of art tells us something about ourselves we didn’t know. In an instant, aspects of our identity fall into place—triggered by details on a canvas, a film we’re watching, or a musical phrase we’re hearing—suggesting affinities we were not aware of.
“The impacts of sea level rise under climate change have been systematically underestimated,” concludes Matt Palmer, a specialist on sea level rise at the U.K. Met Office’s Hadley Centre for Climate Science. “We could see devastating impacts much earlier than predicted — particularly in the Global South.”
Yascha Mounk: There are many things I would love to talk to you about, but the topic I have been thinking about a lot is artificial intelligence. I have had conversations on this podcast about the technology itself with people like Geoffrey Hinton. I have discussed the dimension of existential risk with people like one of the co-authors of If Anybody Builds It, Everyone Dies. I have also thought about some of the broader public policy angles.
There are works of art that have the reputation of being a bore. Jerome Robbins’ Goldberg Variations is one of them. After its premiere in 1971, Arlene Croce, the lapidary (and brilliant) critic declared it to be “ninety minutes at hard labor,” and George Balanchine, whom Robbins idolized and considered his artistic superior, is said to have compared it to homogenized milk.
We are on the verge of the age of human redundancy. In 2023, IBM’s chief executive told Bloomberg that soon some 7,800 roles might be
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“Artists given complete freedom die a horrible death. So, when you tell them what they can’t do, they get creative and say, ‘Oh yes I can,’” Peter Gabriel
The brain is “incredibly plastic, and it stays that way throughout the lifespan of a human,” said
Economics is the study of decision-making under constraints, i.e., scarcity. If advanced AI brings material abundance—if machines can produce many if not all forms of human production at very low marginal cost—does economics become irrelevant? No, we will still have scarcity, but the kind of scarcity that matters will change. Ultimately the answer to any question about the future economics of advanced AI begins with identifying what becomes scarce. After answering that question, the rest of the analysis is pretty straightforward. In this essay I’m going to explore what becomes scarce when automation can replicate many if not all human production, and what that may mean for the types of jobs that emerge.
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