Today’s Frontier AI companies will never exceed the AI capability frontier again

Andrew Trask at his own Substack:

Everyone I’ve talked to in AI has always assumed that the future of AI is bigger models held by a smaller number of players. I get it… they can see a very strong trend over the last 10 years, and they bring that view to every AI regulation, investor strategy, VC pitchdeck, and futurist prediction.

But they couldn’t be more wrong, and now the numbers are showing it. Networks of smaller AI models are outperforming every frontier AI system (Fable/Mythos included) on speed, accuracy, and cost.

IBM, the US Government, Bell Telephone, Bell Labs, and everyone else was wrong in the 1960s about the mainframe computer… and everyone is wrong today about centralized AI. The future is a network of neural networks. It’s a PC+Internet of AI. The future is not open or closed source AI… it’s network-source AI.

More here.

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