Nate Silver Ascendant


Jennifer Ouellette in her blog at Scientific American:

Boo-yah! Behold the data, for it is mighty! Silver correctly predicted 50 states out of 50, and even nailed the popular vote within a few tenths of a percentage point. When the graphic above hit Twitter, Alaska’s returns hadn’t been recorded, but it went, as predicted, to Romney. The sole genuine toss-up state, Florida — which Silver had at 50/50 odds — is still technically not final (as of 5 PM EST on Wednesday, November 7), waiting on votes from Miami-Dade county, which heavily favors Obama, who already holds a slight lead. It’s expected Florida will also land in Obama’s column, so Silver’s controversial last-minute switch of Florida from light pink to light baby blue was justified.

More here.